By US stocks remain volatile as investors wait and see how the tariff situation unravels moving forward.
Fears are that the Trump administration’s new trade policies could lead to a full-blown trade war or even a severe global recession.
Whatever may come to pass, however, buying high-quality stocks at a bargain irrespective of what’s happening in the macroeconomic environment should pretty much be a “no-brainer” for long-term investors, as per the legendary market expert, Warren Buffett.
Buffett’s investment decisions are often based on one very simple rule: “be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
And historically, this strategy has worked like a charm.
Why does Buffett often buy stocks during times of turmoil?
Tariff uncertainty, retaliation from other nations, and concerns of a recession ahead – reasons are plenty for investors to think twice before spending their money on US stocks this year.
However, if you’re not particularly dependent on your equity investments in the near term, most of these fears could actually be irrelevant for you.
Why? Because following what Warren Buffett sees as “earnings hiccups”, the majority of the sound US companies “will be setting new profit records 5,10, and 20 years from now.”
These are lessons the world learned from an op-ed the influential investors wrote for the New York Times during the financial crisis of 2008.
Buffett was a buyer of stocks during the 2008 financial crisis
Investors are keeping on the sidelines in US stocks this year due to the aforementioned macro challenges.
However, Buffett was among the very few who were buying stocks even during the “Great Recession”.
That’s significant given the current environment is nowhere near as dire as it was back in 2008.
Warren Buffett recommends buying “premium quality stocks on a bargain” during challenging times since “over the long term, the stock market news will be good.”
In his 2008 piece, the billionaire chairman and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway also recalled the 20th century in which the US “endured two world wars, the Depression, a dozen recessions, oil shocks, a flu epidemic, and the resignation of a disgraced president.”
Still, Dow – an index of 30 prominent US-listed companies soared in the 20th century from 66 to 11,497, Buffett added.
How should you play US stocks amidst uncertainty in 2025?
If you’re navigating US equities in 2025 under heightened uncertainty, the prudent approach is to position for eventual dislocation rather than chase short-term rallies.
Drawing inspiration from Warren Buffett’s 2008 op-ed, once the 90-day delay on tariffs expires and inflationary pressure from disrupted global supply chains kicks in, the resulting economic slowdown could drag down the S&P 500.
That’s when disciplined investors could start accumulating high-quality stocks—businesses with strong balance sheets, durable moats, and pricing power—at meaningful discounts.
If they fall even further, you may consider proceeding to dollar cost averaging your positions and waiting patiently because chances are that tariffs and the macro uncertainty will eventually subside, clearing the way for top US stocks to rally again.
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